Saturday, February 26, 2011

Coping with a Capital-Intensive Economy

[mEDITate-OR:
believe that we CAN expand production by enough to offset the need for less employees...
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What is now The National Debate - Is the current level of unemployment the "new normal"? Put another way is the current loss of jobs "systemic", where the jobs lost will never, EVER come back; or will recover bring back all those jobs for those who still want them?
What appears to be true is that, as for most of our economic history, as society advances jobs disappear only to be replaced by more efficient, less expensive, better products and goods.
Is the still true?
That is the question.
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Oddly, it may miss the real problem - that what WAS true about U.S. was that the economic benefits of productivity and progress was shared among U.S.
What now appears to be true is that since Ronald Reagan THAT is no longer true.
The Richest are getting filthy rich.
The middle class have disappeared.
And, the poor never had, and never will, they simply get by & survive.
If THIS is the "new normal", we may becoming a truly segregated country.
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According to The St. Louis Fed, American manufacturing employment, as a percentage of total employment, has been falling for more than sixty years.

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Over the past twenty-five years, American manufacturing production actually increased, at least until the 2008 recession hit.
FRED Graph
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Take a look at our trade with China for 2010, and see how well our stimulus is “working” – for China:
All figures are in millions of U.S. dollars on a nominal basis, not seasonally adjusted unless otherwise specified.

MonthExportsImportsBalance
January 20106,888.825,185.1-18,296.3
February 20106,855.123,363.8-16,508.8
March 20107,403.624,300.2-16,896.6
April 20106,591.225,905.7-19,314.5
May 20106,752.729,036.8-22,284.1
June 20106,715.032,866.5-26,151.5
July 20107,344.733,260.0-25,915.3
August 20107,253.535,288.5-28,035.0
September 20107,168.234,999.2-27,830.9
TOTAL62,972.8264,205.9-201,233.1
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Coping with a Capital-Intensive Economy
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/91390-lawrence-j-kramer/117042-coping-with-a-capital-intensive-economy
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